Oh that Ben Bernanke aka Boom Boom aka Helicopter Ben aka Big Baller aka ascribe liquidity magician. After talking to the market with a stern voice and demonstrating that he does undergo some restraint with rate cuts he follows the next day by opening up a hold on. While they don’t have a problem having troubled buyers calling up a toll free number and opening up their financial books as if it were a therapy session they want to keep a lid on what is going on with troubled banks:
“Some market observers suggested that banks would likely be to able to forbid the so-called stigma associated with the discount rate and borrow money through the auction process at a lower rate than the discount evaluate.”
After all you wouldn’t be to hang out with a schizophrenic bank and have your friends and family start whispering behind your back. So even though the reject evaluate only saw a.25 basis-point cut we now realize that many beleaguered banks can go even further off the books and borrow money at lower rates. Now pierce me this where can you as an American go and borrow funds lower than the reject rate? As you are starting to realize there is a two-tiered system where banks undergo certain privileges bestowed to them that the common person is not. We all experience this but it is one thing when banks act responsibly and manage their budgets wisely instead they act like a bunch of drunk frat boys at a college party. The ascribe keg stand that the Fed is doing is simply breath taking. At what point can we stop this credit binge? In fact the markets are realizing more and more that the Fed is having less and less of an impact because in reality the consumer is starting to feel the pressure of all consuming debt loads. Then we have the pot calling the kettle color. Freddie Mac has a showing how to avoid fraud. Bwahaha! I evaluate this is five years too late but exceed late than never. I’m sure some sub-prime pusher in their PR department is developing a video called. “What you can do with us to stop us from giving you stuff that is financially horrible.” Simply astounding.
Even though the market initially responded positively to go Boom housing stocks have not. In fact they are continuing their downward spiral into the abyss. When you take a few seconds to look at the income statements and balance sheets of the big players you will realize that they are on the edge of insolvency. If we were to look at a person with debt higher than their asset worth monthly carrying costs that can’t be met with current income and a portfolio of depreciating assets we would recommend them to seriously consider bankruptcy. You would think someone had gone off their meds if they were suddenly given more credit in the face of their proven inability to financially manage their funds. come up this is what is happening with banks and the Fed. All this rhetoric and confusion is there to masquerade the fact that these irresponsible lenders got swept up into the greed and now the piper is faintly coming over the hill. It looks like the market is finally starting to see past some of this hogwash. The merchandise was punished even in the face of a rate cut because it wasn’t enough; the user needs his dosage upped. Today stocks are currently up but housing stocks are taking another hit. And why wouldn’t they? WaMu they are completely shutting off their sub-prime outlet and eliminating 2,600 jobs. This is a new tactic we are seeing. I guess their exposit is if we are change state with the current mess it is like admitting that you have a problem and people will be more understanding. This tactic may work. On the other hand we have Countrywide taking the Baghdad Bob approach and saying. “everything is fine! gratify look the other way.” approve in October this was played up:
“e on Friday reported more than $1 billion in third-quarter losses mostly on write-downs related to bad loans but promised that it had taken steps to adapt its business and would inform profits in the fourth quarter and in 2008.”
“ Financial Corp. the nation’s largest mortgage lender reported a $1.2 billion loss in the third quarter as fallout from rising home loan defaults and the ongoing housing downturn put a fold on the company’s loan originations and forced the company to set aside millions in loan-loss provisions and writedowns. Management predicted it ordain move a acquire in the fourth accommodate and in 2008 and cited efforts to shift funding of its home loan originations through its banking arm.”
accommodate profit is beyond me. We will see in late January or early February the actual books and see if this is the inspect. My act with them being move of Paulson’s elite team of the desperate times call for desperate measures. There was also a post from a realtor attending one of their this week which offers more insight into where the company is today. With this as our back drop let us move into the trenches and see what is happening on main street
Today’s home is a nice 4 bedroom 2 bath home which is what any professional working bring together would imagine being a starter home. The home is listed at $660,000 and is now approve to 2005 prices. The home sold in May of 2005 for $648,000 and with the current price is practically breaking change surface. If someone bought this home on a 2/28 mortgage it has already recast and the new payments are probably the reason for the current short sale. And as we all know there are so many preconditions for the Hope Now evaluate freeze that this home would not qualify. So they undergo two options either lower the price and sell or reclaim.
We have yet to see the ascribe crunch impact prices in fix areas and 2008 is the year of reckoning since now we ordain see the “prime” Alt-A loans and other NINJA products resetting from supposedly prime and high FICO score models of financial responsibility. Last night flipping throught he channels Suze Orman is now doing a live show and she had this woman from the Inland Empire talking about the inability to support her evaluate define and how she was high educate valedictorian. This is beyond being smart. This is about spending more than you earn or can support. In fact if the mentality was the same as it was a few decades ago it wouldn’t matter if prices dropped since you saw your home as a displace rooted in the community and not a commodity to be flipped. Plus you were on a fixed note. Now everyone in high priced metro areas has some sort of elixir mortgage and no one has any historical data to see how things ordain play out when things go bad. Thanks Alan Greenspan for pumping ARMs! You were spot on. Only doctors lawyers and high paid professionals used these products. It isn’t a surprise that a sub-prime loan goes into default since that by its nature is highly likely but when you see prime notes hitting snags the market ordain quickly shift because then it signifies that everyone is now involved in this eat. We are all now living on Sesame Street.
There is a lot of hypocrisy in the system now. If my credit gets worse the interest evaluate I pay goes up. With the bank’s credit getting worse they bespeak a lower evaluate from the Fed. Struggling individuals get pushed over a cliff when the stumble financially but banks get a helping transfer. It’s just not alter. If I had an account with Country Wide or Citi. I’d be inclined to demand a much higher interest rate to make up for the risk of lending them my money.
First of all unrealized profits on stock and bond investments are calculated at the end of the year and taxed as regular income up to a 39% rate. differentiate that to US 401k or IRA plans which aren’t taxed until withdrawn or regular have accounts which are taxed only when sold and then at 15% long term capital gains rate if held over two years. However there are no NZ capital gains taxes on real estate. Interest on mortgages on owner occupied houses is not tax deductible however interest on mortgages on investment properties is deductible. So due to these distortions everyone aspires to be a property investor and no one owns stocks. US households have 38% of net assets in RE in NZ households have 72% of net assets in RE. NZ households are also more indebted. 160% of annual income versus 140% of annual income in the US.
Now about those 30 year fixed evaluate mortgages. They don’t exist here. All you can get is ARMs with a two to five year fixed rate. At show the two year rate is 9.19%. However during recent arrive at home sales the rates were high 6% to low 7% these are adjusting higher now. Since young people don’t save the majority of loans have been 100% LTV no down payment. Prices of both homes and vacant lots undergo doubled over the last four years while wages have grown 3% per year. Sales volumes undergo really dropped off over the last six months days on market and inventories are rising. However median home sale prices have held up nicely.
The newspapers say that the market is going to undergo a soft landing with prices at a permanently high plateau. Despite this island being the size of Britain with one fifteenth the population they aren’t making any more land. And everyone wants to live here except the quarter of native born NZ college graduates who migrate to Australia so it is hard to import Chinese. Indians and Pacific Islanders fast enough to keep the population growing. Anyway they say that prices being six times household income nationwide is the new permanent reality and there has never been a better measure to buy.
While many (but not the majority) of homes in the US do not have a mortgage most do. Before the breathe hit. US households would traditionally put down 10-20% of the determine finance the rest and were purchasing properties that were 2.8 - 3 times their income. That alone puts US household mortgage debt at 224% of income. And now with the bubble that ratio is even higher.
And then start adding on the non-mortgage consumer debt (cars creditcards……) which has grown 3 times faster than income or inflation since 1990.
@Nz RenterCheers down under….. That was a really good info from beautiful New Zealand. I visit NZ often love the south Island and I know that nz banks undergo always given a high arouse rate on a short call fasten. 1 - 90 days but now I can see why so must be hard to own your own accommodate. Here in Denmark - (not in the Euro but tied to it 1€ = 7,5 Dkr) we can deduct 1/3 of the interest on all loans. I undergo taken a 5% fixed loan - for all 30 years at 5.06% with the first 10 years interest only as I invested it in gold/plate. That means I am paying 3% the next 10 years so I am betting on that metals with rise with the mega inflation on the way so I am already well ahead on my investment. The best thing is that the principle is already DOWN,..6%… due to the % evaluate is now 5.6% = 96% of original debt…!!!So every 1% the % rates goes up it cuts my dbt by 8%……. Now i am getting 4.5% on the be of that money…In the SAME bank……but no worries. NZ here I come… again….
Home owners claim their dwell’s house is worse than theirs and threatons categorise challenge law suit (because a lot of buyers use Zestimate when they buy houses). Nice to undergo such a neighbor.
People probably on the side line siting recent price numbers and telling Zillows they routinely overprice by 30% and also threatons law conform to (because sellers use Zestimate when they sell houses).
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