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"Rents rocketing up in San Francisco" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-10-16 05:47:49

It’s no surprise that rents are rocketing up in healthy urban job centers with limited room for new apartment construction such as San Francisco. San Jose. New York City. Seattle and the District of Columbia. But other metro areas with slow job growth such as Denver. Boston. Dayton. Memphis and Detroit experienced a continuing trend of weak rental growth according to a ranking of effective rent increases in 2007 for large metro areas compiled for BusinessWeek com by Manhattan-based real estate research firm Reis (REIS). In other coastal cities where the job market housing market and population growth have been robust rent increases have accelerated. San Francisco was the top-ranked metro area for rent hikes last year. The effective rents jumped 10.3% to $1,764 in 2007 compared with a 7.7% increase in 2006 and a 3.8% increase in 2005. Art Swanson chief operating officer for Lightner Property Group which manages more than 300 apartments in San Francisco says tenants in rent control apartments are unlikely to move out so “a lot of people coming from out of town are paying the higher prices.” Swanson says there’s heavy demand for entry-level apartments particularly studios which are commanding higher rents. “People are looking to take less to spend less,” Swanson says. “They’re being more budget-conscious.” Exactly this should not be surprising. Rent has been lagging for some years and is out of whack with the housing prices. It needs to move up a few notches to come back to trend. We’re just seeing the beginning. I found showing that there was a huge drop (after a steady increase) in HUD Fair Market rent (which is for a “modest 2 bedroom apartment” in 2005. It’s difficult to find time series on rental costs. I even found an economics paper on the county housing market trying to come up with a model and not using rent as a factor because there were no available series. Studies of rent prices time series are needed. I came to the BA in 2003 saw my rent go DOWN then up a little then up 23%. I voted with my feet and left for another complex that was affordable if you don’t mind gang crime intermittent electrical and phone service and getting to know the Sunnyvale cops on a first-name basis. I have finally voted with my feet and left the BA and will not return until I am sure of being able to make a living untraceably with no dependence on the internet or even on electricity or phone. And I’ll be set up in a “distributed” fashion live one place work another store stuff in another and finally my official address will be in yet another. This is the way to live in the Bay Area. Rents going up 20% or more a year is not any more sustainable than house prices going up that that rate and there will be a rental price crash. The imaginary money is simply going away. I believe from observing Craig’s List that room rental prices have been going down and with the disappearance of imaginary money will come the disappearance of a good part of the population. I love the BA and think it has a future - a realistic future based on what it did about 100 years ago. Some manufacturing fishing farming lots of basic production with a little high tech. >> Exactly this should not be surprising. Rent has been lagging for some years and is out of whack with the housing prices. It needs to move up a few notches to come back to trend. We’re just seeing the beginning. And where did you get this idea from? What is your basis for stating this gem of knowledge? What historical or other factual chart says so? I want to see one. See! Nada! Zilch! As usual just a noise coming from your wrong side. You can go up go down do blasphemy to heaven sacrifice yourself on the housing altar do whatever you want the bottom line is that rents are determined by incomes and wage levels (demand side) and availability (on the supply side). Rents have NOTHING to do with house prices BECAUSE NO ONE “HAS” TO BUY A HOUSE and short of leaving people can rent a shelter. If rents are high. HOUSE PRICES will follow that not the other way round. Take a first class in economics before making that noise again. All he needs to do is finding some clients who are either equally ignorant or they don’t care about this issue. There comes his commissions. >>And where did you get this idea from? What is your basis for stating this gem of knowledge? This is not an idea. This is a real trend that’s been happening in the Bay Area for a while now as demonstrated in the above article. Not sure which island you’ve been living on but if you pay attention you’d notice that every few months this matter comes up in the news media. For example this piece came out in Oct 2007:Say how do I happen to have a link? Because I keep track and I pay attention every single day. Rental prices increasing is a real trend. Home prices dropping is nothing but speculation so far. Renters beware; don’t let the rug be pulled under you without you knowing it. If you don’t make the transition to a homeowner one day you may even afford to stay here as a renter. Lord this Real Stater must be have been stuck in the restroom when God was giving out IQ to humans! What a piece of load are you talking about? You say first:>> Exactly this should not be surprising. Rent has been lagging for some years and is out of whack with the housing prices. It NEEDS TO MOVE UP A A FEW NOTCHES TO COME BACK TO THE TREND We’re just seeing the beginning. Read the capital parts I have highlighted. And when I ask you “how do you know rents should follow the trend to go up” your answer is “because I see them going up and hey. I track them!!”. The operative word is “should”. The questions is what is the REASON it should go up to house prices. What a moronic statement I hear from this guy. It’s like this:person A: “The weather needs to become warmer in the coming months. I don’t feel warm enough”person B: Why is that? What is the reason you believe that the weather is below its proper temperature?person A: Because it is getting warmer!! 1. Real estate means suffering.2. The origin of the suffering is wanting a better place than you live now.3. The cessation of suffering is attainable by not going into hock over a stupid house.4. The path to the end of suffering is not buying beyond your means nor living on a park bench. MortgageAware: The low IQ is on the one that bites on the troll. Eversince Pralay set the tone to sustained aggression mode this forum has crashed to the level of a middle-school fight. I miss the old burbed. Rental prices increasing is a real trend. Home prices dropping is nothing but speculation so far. Renters beware; don’t let the rug be pulled under you without you knowing it. If you don’t make the transition to a homeowner one day you may even afford to stay here as a renter.———— Well shouldn’t it be that way? Renting should be more expensive than owning. The article provided says:1. Home price is falling. Due to this reason people are not buying home.2. Rent is going up because people are not buying home. So if it goes like that eventually owning will be cheaper than renting. In that kind of scenario it would make sense to owning a home. Therefore there is no reason for “transition to a homeowner” TODAY. What you need to do is to transition your thinking. Somethings are not intuitive: - Earth seems flat but is actually round- Smoking for a few days seem harmless but will kill you slowly- Renting seems like an easy way out but will price you out forever - Earth seems flat but is actually round - Smoking for a few days seem harmless but will kill you slowly - Renting seems like an easy way out but will price you out forever I see you have insufficiently meditated on the koans assigned and have instead created some false ones that lead to additional suffering. Here are some correct koans to help return you to the 160-fold path. - In order to practice Zen Realty you must purchase the house not purchase the house and neither purchase nor not purchase the house. - A monk asked Tozan. “How can we escape the cold and heat?” Tozan replied. “Why not go where there is no cold and heat?” “Is there such a place?” the monk asked. Tozan commented. “When cold live thoroughly cold in winter; when hot water your own lawn. - A monk asked Kegon. “How does an enlightened one return to the ordinary world?” Kegon replied. “A broken mirror never reflects again; fallen flowers never go back to the old branches and an interest-only ARM will reset in three years.” - One day Banzan was walking through a market. He overheard a customer say to the real estate broker. “Sell me the best house you have.” “Everything in the MLS is the best,” replied the broker. “You can not find any place that is not the best.” At these words. Banzan was enlightened. - One day as Manjusri stood outside homeownership the Buddha called to him. “Manjusri. Manjusri why do you not enter into a contract? You will remain priced out forever.” Manjusri replied. “I do not see myself as outside. Why enter?” Sekiso lived and taught in South Sunnyvale and Kankei lived and taught on Northern Palo Alto. One day a monk came from 94301 to 94087 in search of teaching. Sekiso said to him. “My Southern Monastery is no better than the Monastery in the North.” The monk did not know what reply to make. When he returned to Kankei and told him the story. Kankei said. “You should have told him that I am ready to enter Nirvana any day.” What you need to do is to transition your thinking. Somethings are not intuitive:….…..- Renting seems like an easy way out but will price you out forever—————— Another NAR propaganda. There is only one salesman in this room who tries to sound too serious and pretends to know everything. And trashes others as “amateur types”. - Home ownership in an inflated price seems to be the only way out and “harmless”. But it’s more of a liability in this current housing market condition. - Don’t be a victim of Tobacco industry. Don’t be a victim of NAR/real estate industry. They are same. OMG. I thought it would be harmless! Just get a NINJA loan FOR FEW YEARS. As “Home Price Always Goes Up” you can always refinance. Pretty soon you will be wealthy. Be a macho like Marlboro Man and enjoy “Pride Of Homeownership”. Pralay. Mortgage Whatever and Real Estater can you find a better place to bicker? This is tedious. I live 30 min from SF and my rent in a great condo with pool jacuzzi etc hasn’t changed in 30 months. Pralay. Mortgage Whatever and Real Estater can you find a better place to bicker? This is tedious.———— Come on “me”! Asking me is justified but you are asking a guy like RealEstater who was FEATURED many times in Bribed com to find better place! Fortunately this topic is not HIS feature. Otherwise you would have to “go elsewhere”. ————I live 30 min from SF and my rent in a great condo with pool jacuzzi etc hasn’t changed in 30 months.———— That’s called “out of whack”. Wait for “the rug be pulled under you”. >>SCC (Santa Clara County) & SMC (San Mateo County) are both off their record highs but have rebound the past two months. SCC & SMC are back to their March 2007 price levels. >>The expensive communities (Palo Altos. Los Altos. Mt View. Sunnyvale. Cupertino. Saratoga. Los Gatos and Almaden Valley) are doing well and are at or near their record high prices(Note: We’re talking about “Real Bay Area” here) >>Although the volume of SFR transactions improved significantly since mid-January with SCC improving from 50% to 65% of the normal volume. Despite this significant improvement only 2001 had fewer transactions initiated. Because of the length of escrows the volume of closings in March still set new record lows.(Now we know why sales appears to be down) >>The demand for housing close to the SMC/SCC border remains strong causing that area to appreciate. The San Mateo - Santa Clara County border tends to lead local real estate market trends. >>There has been pretty dramatic improvements (reductions) in DUI (days of unsold inventory). Many SCC market areas have seen DUI cut in half. >>The Mt View. Los Altos and Palo Alto area has only 60 DUI. Los Gatos and Saratoga with 128 DUI. We would consider both of these regions to be a Seller’s market. >>The hottest price range remains between $1.000,000 and $2,500,000 with only 118 DUI. IS THERE ANY DOUBT THE REAL BAY AREA MARKET IS EXTREMELY HEALTHY?————- Well if you remove all the interesting phrases used (like “dramatic improvements”. “improved significantly”) it does not tell much. After all this description is coming from a Realtor who would like to tell us homes are “flying through windows”. The real facts are in the data/statistics (not in Realtor’s description). The change is nothing but seasonal. And it is worse than 2007 year to year data. >>The real facts are in the data/statistics (not in Realtor’s description). No more excuses. The site has every kind of data for every county with links neatly organized and graphs plotted! The analysis is based on the data given. No more excuses. The site has every kind of data for every county with links neatly organized and graphs plotted! The analysis is based on the data given.————– And why don’t you look at those data and tell me if they are better than 2007 or not? I already saw them. “Exactly this should not be surprising. Rent has been lagging for some years and is out of whack with the housing prices. It needs to move up a few notches to come back to trend. We’re just seeing the beginning.” Right. Because the guy that delivers your mail (not that you know his name) should either move his family into an efficiency in a tenement or move out of California entirely. Well he could also maybe just sit it out in a tiny place for a bit while the idiots who bought in 2005-2006 and the realtors who rode the wave go bankrupt then walk in and buy (or rent) from the people that pick up the pieces. I mean either way would probably work. My guess your preference is the former. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> The posts on this weblog are provided "AS IS" with no warranties and confer no rights. The opinions expressed herein are my own personal opinions and only represent the view of Burbed com's editor. If companies properties etc are mentioned on this blog you should assume that I have a financial stake in them. Trust no one.

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"Beyond Home Mortgage Rates: What's In Store If You're Not Careful" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-04-08 02:33:54

Never before in the annals of modern American economy have home mortgage rates been so low after a bonanza of loans made available to everybody change surface those with spotted credit card scores. At that time interests rates were considered low but that was then and before the mortgage breathe break. Today with the lowest of low home mortgage rates what's in store for you? Before you hitch your future to the mortgage wagon carefully consider the following because you can't be too careful when your future is at lay on the line and you have nowhere to run when the skies fall. Two important considerations play critical roles in your mortgage: ascribe score and stability of employment. These factors ordain cause the success of your mortgage. There ordain be a lot of enticing talk about how low the mortgage rates are. You can comfort get a mortgage even if you have a bad credit history but at what price? If you compare notes with someone who has a good ascribe score you might change integrity at the disparity of the interest rates and maybe you'll throw the idea of getting a mortgage. Another factor is the stability of your employment. Let's say you've got a good credit score and you get a mortgage. But if your employment is not that shelter or you're hired on a contractual basis you'll put yourself at assay. Despite the much touted low home mortgage rates if these two factors are quite shaky exceed chew over other options and evaluate the feasibility of your having a successful home mortgage. Many borrowers breezed through their loan applications believing in their capabilities to pay the mortgage despite the jacked up interest rates owing to their poor credit scores. Yet they continued to write the dotted line encouraged by the fact that everybody was getting mortgages and lenders were so eager to alter their money. If you undergo bad ascribe history but a shelter employment evaluate your chances for future salary raises and calculate how much you earn from other part-time jobs to act the family afloat during the lifetime of the mortgage. Or if you undergo an unstable job and a bad ascribe advance don't displace it. What makes the situation change surface shakier is the fact that you'll be giving a downpayment which you may have saved or borrowed for the occasion. So you thought that getting a mortgage was a blow especially with low home mortgage rates? There are the downpayment insurance and processing fees to pay. With all these expenses where will it leave you when the bills start coming? Better a broken heart now than be sorry and impoverish later. Okay you still be a mortgage at this time. This is one question you've got answer honestly are you getting a mortgage to pay off ascribe separate loans? If it's a yes then here's what will happen - you'll be paying more than you can afford. With prices of food going up what would be your priority?

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"Are Mortgage Rates Dropping?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2008-01-16 02:40:28

I would liek to refinance my home and displace out some cash for renovations - does anyone know if mortgage rates are dropping anytime soon? Yes mortgage rates are dropping next month also the six cater will win at aqueduct in the fourth and the dow ordain top 14,000. Posted by: at September 25. 2007 12:35 PM I evaluate what the 12:35 poster is trying to say is that if anyone actually new what mortgage rates were going to do none of us would be posting on this board... We would be sipping drinks at our private retreats counting all of the money we made as bond speculators. But seriously - Best source i have run across is bankrate com they have a weekly mortgage trend analysis and commentary. It seems to to fairly accuarate - but nothing is ever 100% Posted by: at September 25. 2007 1:06 PM First poster here. Bankrate com should dress their label to baitandswitch com. Completely unreliable. Posted by: at September 25. 2007 1:18 PM what do you convey 1:18? I have found their weekly adorn on mortgage rates to be fairly accurate and at least somewhat informative. If you mean their mortgage comparison search then i might agree as I undergo seen stuff on there that seems totally illogical. But I dont think it is bankrate. I think its the actual brokers and banks posting BS products. Agree? Posted by: at September 25. 2007 1:27 PM I agree but I evaluate there are exceed more unbiased sources out there like the mortgage bankers association etc. Posted by: at September 25. 2007 2:27 PM Your best bet is to call a real be mortgage broker in the neighborhood. I use Trachtman & Bach (Hymie S.). The reason is that those online sites are never reliable for the NY merchandise and T&B so far has always given me a better rate than I was able to find elsewhere. Posted by: at September 25. 2007 2:33 PM they (rates) are not dropping because they move according to the 10 and 30 year bond. The long bonds are suffering with the steadily declining value of the US dollar. Overseas investors are taking a dim view of re-flating the US economy by pumping yet more change in so they are requiring a higher go when buying long treasuries. This pushes fixed rates and therefore mortgage rates up. So despite what is happening in the short end thanks to helicopter Ben at the fed dropping change over the city the desire end is as high as it was before or rising further. If you want to take a very short term ARM you might find rates are easing.. But then your cost of funds are a end unknown going forward. Posted by: at September 25. 2007 3:00 PM

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"Opinions/info on whether fed rate cuts bring down mortgage rates?" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-20 21:01:52

I want to fasten in a home equity line of credit and my mortgage brokers says I should wait because feds ordain cut rates again before end of year and by Jan we should be back in the high 6s. But yesterday someone (I think The What) said that feds cutting short term lending rates won't effect mortgage rates. As far as I understand (which isn't very far) this contradicts everything I've read and the feds intentions in cutting the rates. Does anyone have any understanding of what the relationship is likely to be btw fed short call evaluate cuts and mortgage rates? The Federal Reserve has the (very strong) ability to influence short term interest rates but it does not even set them per se (except the rates at which banks can borrow from Fed itself). It has a target for short term interest rates that it seeks to achieve by adding or withdrawing cash to the money supply in order to push bunco term rates up or drink. Fed announcements serve to notify the markets that the target has changed and are a relatively recent invention. Long term rates of 10 years and more (and really anything above 3 months) are set by the market. What has happened recently (i e the past three or four years) is that while the Fed has (effectively) raised its target for short term rates desire term rates haven't moved (or moved nearly as much). Why? There are lots of theories with one of the most compelling being that foreign governments like China and Japan keep buying US Treasury bonds because they have the highest furnish of all "no assay" investments. This is a classic case of the Fed "pushing on a string" -- short term rates have risen but desire term rates stayed the same. Additional rate cuts by the Fed may or may not create mortgage rates to decline. Another rate cut could serve to actually increase mortgage rates if the merchandise believes they will lead to an acceleration of inflation and thus demands more return for longer call loans. There is really no reason to lock in a rate for most home equity lines of credit right now. Rates for mortgages undergo a relationship to the interest rates set by the Fed but are not strictly pegged to them. Most home equity lines however (as opposed to mortgages) generally are directly pegged to the prime rate which in turn is determined by the fed funds rate. So if the funds rate gets cut by the fed by half a point (as they were last week) your home equity lines' rate probably went down a half a point as well or is about to. Obviously you should check the terms.

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"Los Angeles Mortgage Rates Report: September 26, 2007" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-12 16:57:23

Northeast Los Angeles includesthe communities of Eagle Rock. Highland Park. Mount Washington. Glassell Park. Sycamore Grove. Garvanza. Montecito Heights. Cypress lay,Lincoln Heights. El Sereno. Monterey Hills and Hermon. Jumbo mortgage rates in Los Angeles are improving... Yeah. Baby ! But first... We advised Los Angeles home buyers to ;nothing happened to mortgage rates. There is comfort an irrational fearin the mortgage rates markets about inflation which is causing thelenders to remain stubborn about pricing. We are changing our stance to a locking prejudice. So if you haven't locked in your give and you're less than 21days from your close of escrow go ahead and lock. Rates we're offering for loans under $417,000 as of September 26. 2007: Rates subject to qualification and merchandise conditions. Equal Opportunity Lender. Now for some REALLY good news. Pricing for jumbo rates in Los Angeles is improving. Rates for stated income loans in Los Angeles aregetting displace. If youhave applied for a give that is greater than $417,000 or are notdocumenting your income we think you can safely go the evaluate. protect Street investors are dipping their toe in the jumbo and stated income loan markets and starting to buy those loans. The when the Wall Street investors stopped buying jumbo loans (portfoliolenders don't change to Wall Street; they hold the loans) are nowaggressively pricing their jumbo loans. The jumbo mortgage rates arestill not as competitive as they were on July 31. 2007 but THEY AREIMPROVING. This aggressive move by the portfolio lenders tells us thatthe conduit lenders that change jumbo loans to Wall Street are gettinggood news. In summary lock loans under $417,000 and float loans over $417,000. The liquidity crisis ain't over but the desert we've lived in sinceAugust 2. 2007 is starting to smell like come down. That's good news. NELA be is a convergent community of residents realtors financial experts activists entreprenuers educators and artisians that live in and compassionate deeply aboutNortheast Los Angeles. California. USA. Thanks to the blogging efforts of this varied group of contributors. NELA liveoffers a lively entertaining and unpredictable mix of opinions and commentary local politics community events plus financial and real estate information.

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"Regional Spotlight: Florida?s Existing Home Sales Ease in August 2007" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-12-01 22:40:17

RISMEDIA. Sept. 27. 2007-Low mortgage rates low unemployment rates and strong demographics continued to reflect positive economic signs in Florida in August. Statewide sales of existing single-family homes totaled 11,279 last month and were closer to activity in August 2001 and 2002 — before the peak of the housing boom years - than the August 2006 figures when 15,252 homes sold for a 26% decrease in the year-to- year comparison according to the Florida Association of Realtors(R) (FAR). Florida’s median sales determine for existing single-family homes last month was $231,900; a year ago it was $246,800 for a 6% change magnitude. The median is the midpoint; half the homes sold for more half for less. In August 2002 the statewide median sales price for single-family homes was $141,200 for an increase of 64.2% over the five-year-period according to FAR records. In July 2007 the national median sales determine for existing single-family homes was $228,600 down 1% from the previous year according to the National Association of Realtors(R) (NAR). In California the statewide median resales price was $586,030 in July; in Massachusetts it was $365,775; in Maryland it was $323,838; and in New York it was $249,700. NAR’s latest market outlook notes that disruptions in the mortgage market are dampening the forecast for home sales particularly in August and September. However the mortgage markets ordain comfort in the months ahead says NAR Senior Economist Lawrence Yun. “The volume of existing-home sales this year ordain be better than 2002 which was the second year of the housing go,” he says. “Conventional loans - the vast majority of available financing - are available to creditworthy borrowers. Buyers in most areas who do their homework will accept that housing remains a good long-term investment.” Sales of existing condominiums in Florida also decreased last month with a total of 3,380 condos sold statewide compared to 4,522 in August 2006 for a 25% decline according to FAR. The statewide median sales determine for condos measure month was $196,800 drink 3% from August 2006’s condo median determine of $201,900. NAR reported the national median existing condo price was $230,600 in July 2007. Last month interest rates for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 6.57% according to Freddie Mac change state to the add up rate of 6.52% in August 2006. FAR’s sales figures designate closings which typically become 30 to 90 days after sales contracts are written. Among the state’s larger markets the West touch Beach-Boca Raton Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) reported 568 existing homes sold last month compared to 655 homes sold a year ago for a 13% decrease. The merchandise’s median sales price for homes was $366,200; it was $386,000 in August 2006 for a 5% change magnitude. A be of 435 existing condos changed hands in the MSA last month down 16% from the 515 condos sold the previous year. The existing condo median sales price in August was $209,000; a year ago it was $220,300 for a 5% change magnitude. “touch land offers a unique lifestyle with beautiful beaches cultural amenities and other wonderful opportunities,” says Norma Mirsky president of the touch Beach Board of Realtors and president of Mirsky Realty Group. “Mortgage rates act to be very favorable and this is a great time to buy a home in the area especially if you’re looking for a place to live in and call home.” Among the state’s smaller markets the Fort Walton land MSA reported a be of 219 homes sold in August compared to 255 homes a year ago for a 14% change magnitude. The existing home median sales determine was $227,300; a year ago it was $229,200 for a 1% change magnitude. A total of 51 existing condos sold in the MSA last month compared to 47 condos the previous August for a 9% change magnitude. The merchandise’s existing condo median price was $311,500; a year ago it was $356,300 for a decrease of 13%. Harry Millsaps president of the Emerald glide Association of Realtors and a Realtor with Prudential Coastal Properties Inc. says that home sales are returning to a more normal pace in the area with buyers attracted by the laid-back friendly lifestyle. “The Federal keep back come in’s recent cut in a key interest rate could make it easier for many people to sight an affordable mortgage that’s right for them,” he says. “It is especially good news for homeowners with adjustable-rate mortgages; now as many ARMs resettheir rates those borrowers could see some savings as a prove of the displace arouse rates. Buyers seeking to make a long-term investment in a home of their own have more options now.” RISMEDIA. Dec. 3. 2007-As the mortgage and real estate industries approach unprecedented times homeowners could very come up be left to pay the bills literally. Mortgage companies are going out of business or declaring bankruptcy every day. When that happens their assets can be frozen which means they cannot transfer any funds including the funds they […]

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"MARKETS; Rate Cut Is Mixed Bag For Many; Savers Are Pinched As CD ..." posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-22 10:12:16

Commentary on Economics and Public GovernanceFor years after WW II the American Dollar was the currency of choice around the world -- in little Costa Rica the dollar is still welcomed by cab drivers and hotel bellhops and merhants. But for how long.. as the dollar continues to alter against other currencys?While professing to be a political and fiscal conservative beginning in January 1981 President Ronald Reagan began to either propose or authorise massive deficits and under his administration preserve levels of debt were incurred. The Great Communicator amassed more debt for the federal government than all presidents from George Washington to Jimmy Carter -- combined! (I have not seen this evaluate challenged -- would be interested in hearing from anyone challenging the totals.) This as a bet played by R's and D's by liberals and conservatives -- furnish the populate what they be (government payments) and don't give them what they don't want (taxes to pay for same.) The measure time the federal budget had been balanced was in 1969 (the 1968 preparation under Lyndon Johnson prepared by budget director Charles Zwick who went on to continue Southeast Banking in Miami). All through the following years to President Bill Clinton reversed the trend we had more outgo than income. At some inform one must pay the piper yes? Are we come that point? Bear Stearns economist David Malpass seems to be saying yes. How long can the federal government adopt budgets that are hundreds of billions of dollars above (in spending) what will be collected (income)? While the congress and White House spar over Iraq spending does anyone ask -- where ordain the money come from? Or is that irrelevant now?While we talk about "deficit" (the annual shortall) the piled up year-upon-year deficits are becoming really scary - that's the soverign debt now in the trillions' of dollars. One estimmate is that all organs of the federal government may owe $50 trillion or more to bondholders. The "compassionate conservative" in the White House doesn't be to be very fiscally conservative either nor do the Republican members of Congress who often run on conservative platforms. The Dems are in charge of the budget now and they haven't moved the beset approve to neutral or beyond to a balanced budget and pay-down of debt. Who will help us?Every day we as a nation put on another $1 billion in debt -- usually snapped up by China and other nations as investment. How desire will they be patient investors? If the OPEC countries shift to a Euro standard for US oil purchases with the dollar at $1.60 to the Euro what's the impact on our economy? On the average consumer? On federal and state debt?sight that few of the candidates in the presidential debates (to date) talk about "debt" or "deficit" or sound fiscal policy? And few journalist-moderators ask those questions? Does anyone care? Yes every sovereign government has the right to use ascribe -- wisely. Every goverment needs credit (bonds) to pay for desire term investment. But what is allot credit use -- and under what circumstances are un-balanced budgets OK? (Not for decades right?)Your thoughts on what David Malpass has opined here? On the national debt / deficit? On the way the USA prepares its budgets?Hank BoernerEditor Accountability Central Commentary - on AccountabilityWise business leaders keep their eye on the state attorneys general -- if the federal government can't or won't move to protect consumers the AGs often ordain alter the moves. Investigations and oversight can begin in an individual state -- such as California in the toy inspect -- or with a small group of AGs in a coalition or working group. (New York and New England AGs bring home the bacon together to decrease the effects of acide rain they claim come from midwestern coal-burning electric plant emissions.) And significant campaigns -- leading to global settlements such as the Big Tobacco cases -- often result from the universe of express attorneys general working through NAAG the National Association of Attorneys General. NAAG has working groups -- including one on predatory lending -- and the smaller AG coalitions and the issues they cerebrate on can quickly emerge into a national compel for change through NAAG. State laws are often more potent bases of challenge than federal laws or rules -- NY AG Eliot Spitzer went after protect Street's big players using state law (The Martin Act) that preceeded 1930s federal financial markets protective legislation. In fact. President Franklin Roosevelt and his brain believe were quite familiar with the investor protection laws of the 1920s and used key elements for the 1933 an 1934 securities protection legislation. The AG office is often a springboard for higher office -- the former AGs of New York. Michigan. Arizona and Washington State now occupy the statehouse as governors. So yes there is some politicking in the AG pursuits -- but there is often also a genuine pursuit of creating positive dress to protect the express's consumers. Smart corporate managers (and boards) will not ignore the AG's call for dress or solutions --as you see here in this LA Times story management at Mattel (California-based)is engaged with AG Jerry Brown. Good move for all involved -- including consumers at the toy answer. Remember when the feds can't or won't the express AGs are on the move. And often they have the ammunition such as California's Proposition 65 or NY's Martin Law to act their cases. And the cases brought often have amicus or co-filers and supporters from advocate communities. be Tuned to this story -- California is home to key toy marketers (including Disney) the portal through which Asian-made toys move to US stores and home to a wide be of advocacies capable of mounting ambitious public campaigns targeting companies they think are holdouts in reforms and solutions to societal problems. Hank BoernerEditor Accountability Central Commentary on Business & SocietyGather round kiddies for a nostalgic view of the airline industry and its exciting early days. Airlines and the cities they headquarter in are very importawnt business partners! Back in our early journalistic days we were "an aviation writer," something there are very few if any of today in newpapers wire services even broadcasting (the ABC TV Network even had a full-time av-writer in the space shot days). Most airlines with familiar mark names came to life in the 1929 - 1940 era and were headed by luminaries and industry legends -- CR Smith at America; WE Woolman at Delta; WA Patterson at United. (Most didn't use their first names as you see -- the airline mark was more important to build!)Airlines were glamorous endeavors (once upon a time) before the cattle-car days that came with wide-bodies like the Boeing 747. Why this writer even remembers having to feature a suit and tie when boarding first-class on most airlines! Airlines grew up around cities that they served - and the identification as an "airline city" was very important to local business interests -- as it is in Atlanta today. Atlanta had Delta (which began life as a southern crop-dusting operation); United called Chicago home; American Airlines started in Texas moved to Chicago and then called New York City home before moving back to Dallas-Fort Worth. Pan Am ("Pan American World Airways," America's foreign flag carrier to the world!) was always a New York City fixture with additional outposts in Miami (its gateway to Latin America). Eastern started out in New York with Rockefeller.

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"Lower Fed Rates Means Home Buying Opportunitis on the Rise" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-12 01:28:04

displace Fed Rate Means Opportunities on the RiseFor the first time in more than four years the Federal keep back cut its Fed Funds evaluate which directly impacts millions of American borrowers. And while this important decision has many implications there’s comfort some debate among experts about what this means to the economy as a whole. The Federal keep back meets again in six weeks and no one is certain how merchandise volatility and inflation concerns ordain affect their future policy and decision-making. Bottom line: act favor of this opportunity while you still can. Call me right away. If you’re looking to interpret a lower interest evaluate for refinancing or buying a home this could be your best opportunity to do so. If you undergo an Adjustable Rate Mortgage while this rate cut might back up to improve your situation now is the measure to finance into a fixed-rate loan. If you undergo a domiciliate Equity Line of ascribe (HELOC) or credit cards tied to the Prime evaluate the Fed’s cut in the Fed Funds Rate just put a little money in your pocket. Borrowers waiting for a displace fixed-rate mortgage may be waiting for a desire measure. The map below clearly shows how Fed Funds evaluate cuts do not translate into cuts in fixed-rate mortgages. In January 2001 the Fed Funds evaluate was at 6% and 30-year fixed rates averaged 7.03%. By December 2001 following 4.25% in cuts throughout the year home give rates were actually up to 7.07%. XHTML: You can use these tags: <a href="" call=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <have in mind> <label> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <touch> <strong> alpharetta. Alpharetta ga georgia north atlanta north fulton homes in alpharetta relocation relo buying a home selling a home first measure home buyer home buying home selling homes in north atlanta homes in alpharetta city of milton georgia real estate market real estate agent homes new home sales home search resale information mls examine search for homes resale north atlanta realtor real estate statistics real estate market trends market trends history of alpharetta buy a home. Investment rental value


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"Knowing When Your Ready To Buy" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-11-05 23:03:40

All across the United States there are millions of people looking to a buy home - either now or in the future. Over the last few years lower interest rates have go along making it more affordable than ever to buy a home. When most populate stop and give it some thought - buying a home makes a lot more sense than renting a home or an apartment. In order to buy a accommodate you’ll need to go away saving your money and undergo enough for the closing costs and a down payment. Your drink payment will normally need to be around 15% of the price or the value of the property - whichever is lower. To be on the safe side you should always try to undergo 20% to put down. If you aren’t able to put 20% down you’ll need to buy some private mortgage insurance which will be you more in terms of your monthly payment. In most cases the closing costs will run you around 5% of the property determine. Before you purchase the home you should always get an estimate. An estimate won’t be the exact price although it will be really close. You should always intend to deliver up a bit more money than you be just to be on the safe side. It’s always best to have more than enough than not enough. You’ll know your create from raw material to buy a home when you experience exactly how much you can afford and you’re willing to fasten with your plan. When you buy a home and get your monthly mortgage payment it shouldn’t be any more than 25% of your total monthly income. Although there are lenders out there who will say that you can afford to pay more you should never let them communicate you into doing so - but fasten to your budget instead. act in mind that there is always more money involved with a home other than the mortgage payment. You also undergo to pay for utilities homeowners insurance property taxes and maintenance. Owning and caring for a home requires a lot of responsibility. If you’ve never owned a home before it can take a bit of measure to get used to. Before you fill out any applications you should always look over your ascribe report and check for any errors. Although you may evaluate you don’t you can easily get an error on your ascribe report and not even realize it. If you undergo an error on your ascribe inform it can cost you a lot of money in arouse rates. An error ordain decrease your ascribe score which will put you in a higher interest hold and ultimately cost you a lot more money in the end. Therefore you should always know your ascribe before you come a lender. If you check your credit inform early enough you may leave yourself enough measure to fix any problems and get your credit approve on track. Rebuilding credit can take time though sometimes even years. You should always plan ahead - and give yourself plenty of measure to fix your ascribe. Buying a home ordain require a bit of commitment on your behalf. You should always assay to get the best possible deals which means knowing your ascribe and where you rest. This way you can get the best interest rates. You don’t want to buy a home with bad ascribe simply because you’ll pay a lot more money for the home. If you take the time to fix any ascribe problems and save up some money - you’ll be able to get a much better home for your money.

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"Three Ways the US Housing Crash is Affecting Australia" posted by ~Ray
Posted on 2007-10-30 15:18:59

“The dollar is mired in weakness,” Nobuaki Kubo from Brown Brothers Harriman told Bloomberg. You can say that again. Kubo-san. Durable goods orders in aggroup America are set to slow down according to data from the US Commerce Department. And of cover Americans are spending less on big-ticket items. That biggest-ticket item of all—the family home—is declining in value and sitting on the market for longer. The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales cut by 4.3% in August. Over the measure twelve months sales are down by 13%. And with falling sales you undergo falling prices. In 15 of 20 cities tracked by the Case/Schiller Housing list prices fell. The average change state in home prices nationwide was 13.9%. It’s the worst slump in 16 years for the American housing merchandise. And the inventory of unsold homes now stands at 10 months. Later this week data on new home sales ordain be published. You can evaluate it to confirm that sentiment—America’s slow-motion housing meltdown is alive and unwell. So what you may be wondering. What does any of this have to do with Australia? America’s housing come down has three effects on Australia. First the US housing crash is pushing the American economy into recession. The Fed has lowered rates to head the recession off at the pass. The resulting go in the dollar is driving global investors away from US dollar denominated assets and mortgage-backed debt to real assets…like BHP. Impact be one: higher Australian stock prices as evidenced by the resource-driven preserve run on the ASX. Impact number two is higher interest rates. This is largely a consequence of the credit make noise and has already been much discussed. What’s notable here is that while the Federal keep back moved short-term interest rates drink in the States the market moved long-term arouse rates—including 30-year mortgage rates—up. That shouldn’t be shocking. In the approach of obviously inflationary policies from central banks attach investors are demanding much higher yields for longer-maturity bond issues. force be three is less obvious. But it gets to whether Australia has an American-style housing problem. We are told—based on the number of subprime style loans—that Australia has no such problem. But we’d respectfully suggest that the larger problem is not a particular call of risky loans—but an entire financial system that emphasises the accumulation of huge household debts. P. S to get The Daily Reckoning direct to your inbox write up to our or if you like to use RSS subscribe to the. Now this is a valuable article as it can relate to us in Australia. Good one because what happens in Australia is not the primary concern of us denizens of Australia… I am not sure about the supposed short term movements of long bonds as a response to inflationary expectations. attach traders go day by day,at a be week by week. The move was probably related to reweighting to shorter maturities,a move into equities and overseas selling on a weak dollar. Incremental changes as time passes might communicate inflation… but then the Fed may avoid considering the importance of these longer maturities. I think I’ve left this challenge before but it bears repeating - based on what do Australians continue to insist they DON’T have a “subprime” situation in home mortgages? Even basic logic contradicts that claim. Unless wages undergo appreciated in lie with home prices (clue: they haven’t) then the only way Australians could “afford” current home prices are through the use of low-doc loans. IOW easy credit to mask the low earning power of their wages. Your affix points out the precarious express of Australia’s “ascribe economy” - good surprise. But in the context of home prices - the housing bubble alone can sink this economy in a similar way it is sinking the US and England. The housing breathe is not so much about “subprime” or any other buzz-word - but simply how much house can a citizen’s wages buy? A be at contend levels shows: the citizens here can’t afford their homes any more than the citizen of the U. S and England can. There is not REALLY such a thing as “credit wealth” regardless of what the RBA would have us believe. (Just as the central banks in the US and England once claimed too. BTW.) Nor is there any reason to evaluate housing to perform any differently here. ========================Low-doc merchandise boomsBy Stephen BlaxhallTuesday 31 July 2007 Fears of a sub-prime desire meltdown seem far from lenders minds as Australia’s low-documentation (low-doc) home loan market flourishes. The low-doc merchandise which has doubled in the past four years now makes up 16 per cent or $37.9 billion of be housing lending commitments. There are now 385 loans offered by study banks regional banks credit unions and building societies as come up as the traditional non-bank lenders. XHTML:.

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